Mining Historical Online Forums for Longtermist Ideas

Mining Historical Online Forums for Longtermist Ideas

Summary: There is a lack of accessible historical discourse in longtermist thought, which hampers research and understanding. This project aims to mine early online communities for key discussions, annotating and organizing them thematically to enhance access for researchers, newcomers, and history preservation efforts.

Many foundational ideas in contemporary longtermist thinking originated in early online communities like the Extropians listserv, but these discussions remain buried in lengthy, unstructured archives. This makes it difficult for current thinkers to discover prior insights and for newcomers to trace the intellectual history of the field. A project could systematically mine these historical forums to bridge this gap.

What the Project Would Achieve

One approach could involve analyzing discussions from forums like Extropians to identify and annotate early ideas that align with modern longtermist concepts. The output might include:

  • A curated collection of key excerpts, grouped by themes like AI risk or bioengineering ethics,
  • Light annotations explaining their relevance to current thinking, and
  • A structured document or resource that makes these insights accessible.

An initial version could be as simple as a categorized Google Doc, while a more refined version might resemble a polished "Ideas from the Early Days of Longtermism" compilation.

How It Could Be Executed

A phased execution plan might involve:

  1. Discovery Phase: Identify prominent contributors and search archives using keywords related to modern longtermism.
  2. Selection & Annotation: Extract the most relevant discussions and add brief contextual explanations.
  3. Organization & Feedback: Group findings by theme, draft introductory summaries, and share with the community for refinement.

The process could be made more robust by cross-referencing with modern citations to surface influential posts and explicitly flagging potential selection biases.

Why It Would Matter

This could benefit multiple stakeholders:

  • Junior researchers could contribute while learning the field's history,
  • Newcomers could gain an engaging entry point beyond academic papers,
  • Established researchers could quickly reference prior discussions,
  • Historians could preserve valuable digital discourse.

Unlike existing resources like the LessWrong Sequences or academic papers, this approach would highlight the raw, evolving discussions behind longtermist ideas—offering both historical insight and practical utility.

Source of Idea:
This idea was taken from https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/53Wcw73rav4rkQ4WM/ea-communication-project-ideas and further developed using an algorithm.
Skills Needed to Execute This Idea:
Historical ResearchData MiningContent CurationThematic AnalysisAnnotation SkillsCommunity EngagementDocument OrganizationKeyword ResearchFeedback IncorporationWriting SkillsDigital ArchivingCross-referencingCritical Thinking
Categories:LongtermismHistorical AnalysisDigital ArchivingCommunity EngagementResearch MethodologyIntellectual History

Hours To Execute (basic)

60 hours to execute minimal version ()

Hours to Execute (full)

300 hours to execute full idea ()

Estd No of Collaborators

1-10 Collaborators ()

Financial Potential

$0–1M Potential ()

Impact Breadth

Affects 100K-10M people ()

Impact Depth

Significant Impact ()

Impact Positivity

Probably Helpful ()

Impact Duration

Impacts Lasts 3-10 Years ()

Uniqueness

Moderately Unique ()

Implementability

Implementable with Effort ()

Plausibility

Reasonably Sound ()

Replicability

Easy to Replicate ()

Market Timing

Good Timing ()

Project Type

Research

Project idea submitted by u/idea-curator-bot.
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