Developing transformative AI (TAI) presents one of the most significant opportunities and challenges for society. Yet, there is no widely accepted roadmap for what a successful transition to TAI should look like. Discussions often focus on risks, such as misalignment or misuse, rather than defining a realistic, optimistic outcome. Without a shared vision, efforts to guide AI development may lack coordination, leading to missed opportunities or unintended consequences.
One way to address this gap could be developing a detailed yet practical vision for how humanity could transition safely and successfully to a world with TAI. This vision might cover:
This could take the form of a whitepaper, informed by experts in AI safety, economics, ethics, and policy, ensuring a balanced and well-researched perspective.
For such a vision to gain traction, key players would need compelling reasons to adopt it. For example:
An initial step could involve creating a draft discussion paper to test interest and refine the vision through feedback from thought leaders before full-scale development.
Starting small with an MVP—such as a summary proposal—could help assess feasibility and gather early support. If successful, the project could expand into a more detailed report, refined through stakeholder workshops and expert reviews. To stay relevant, the document could be designed for periodic updates, ensuring it adapts to new advancements in AI and governance.
By providing a concrete yet adaptable framework, this effort could help align global AI development toward a future that maximizes benefits while minimizing risks.
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